
U.S. Open 2007 is going to the first U.S. Open in post-Agassi era. U.S. Open 2006 was won by Roger Federer, but as Patrick McEnroe and many others mentioned times and times again, it was about Agassi. He was the star of the show. No matter what Federer, Nadal, or anyone else did for that matter, Agassi was going to be the winner in fans’ hearts. One would think that now that Agassi is gone, all the focus will be on Federer and Nadal, but with Djokovic beating Federer and other surprise hot performers such as Isner and Blake, can we see a non Federer-Nadal in two weeks? Here are, what I believe, will be the stories of this year’s U.S. Open:
1. Nadal will continue to struggle on hardcourts: Nadal has got a decent draw this year. But his first real test, if he is healthy, should be against the winner of Tsonga and Tursunov. I certainly don’t believe Tim Henman will be fit enough or motivated enough to knock out Tursunov, but I could be wrong. If Nadal’s successful there, I put my money on Nalbandian to face him in the following round. David Ferrer is good, but Nalbandian shoud beat him this time. In short, there is nobody except maybe Djokovic that Nadal shouldn’t be able to beat on his way to the final. The question is will he be fit enough to get there. I think he will be in the final if he is healthy. But he is definitely beatable on U.S. Open hardcourts unlike clay.
2. Blake Will Reach His First Semis: Blake has got a favorable draw this year. Not only he doesn’t have to face Roger Federer in the quarters, if he is lucky, Federer will be knocked out somehow before the semis, giving him a good chance to grab his first slam against Nadal in the final. Of course, this is all speculation. Federer is unlikely to be upset by anyone on his way to the semis. Nadal may not make it to the final, and Blake has shown in the past that he could beat almost anyone and lose to almost anyone. My money would be on him reaching the semis, but beyond that would be a miracle.
3. Djokovic will make his third straight Semis: Novak may have beaten a passive Federer in Montreal, but he is not as strong as a favorite as experts claim him to be. He has not shown in his previous Grand Slam efforts that he is fit enough to win 5 or 6 best of 5 set matches in a Grand Slam. His draw is also not very favorable, and if Nadal is healthy, I would expect the Djoker to fall to Nadal in 5 sets in the semis, if he gets there. Next year’s Australian Open should be his first crack at a Grand Slam Final if he stays healthy and avoid Federer.
4. Roddick 2nd Slam Drought Will Continue: Roddick has claimed that he is a much better player since hooking up with Connors. However, we have seen glimpses of old “mojo less” Andy this past couple of weeks. Losing to Ferrer and Dancevic is not exactly a confidence booster for Roddick. I expect him to make it to the quarters and lose to Federer yet again.
5. Hewitt will be the main Dark Horse: As much as I like Djokovic and Nadal, an in-form Lleyton Hewitt is more than capable of springing a surprise and reaching another Grand Slam Final. Earlier I mentioned that I expect Nadal to beat Djokovic in 5 sets in the semis if they both get there. But, I don’t think the Djoker will be there as he will fall to Hewitt in round 4. Hewitt came close to beating Federer in the semis of Cincinnati Masters and Federer was playing quite well then. So, if Hewitt manages to reach the final against Federer, it will be a special match. Let’s not forget the curse of U.S. Open series winner. Federer could fall victim to that just like Andy Roddick has for a couple of years (not suggesting that Federer is as vulnerable and limited as Roddick!)
Quarter Final:
Federer vs. Roddick
Blake vs. Davydenko
Youzhny vs. Hewitt
Nadal vs. Gonzalez
Semis:
Federer vs. Blake
Final:
Hewitt vs. Federer
Winner: Federer
Hewitt vs. Nadal